Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.003398 0.003566 0.003738 0.003927 0.004129 0.004339 0.004574
2025-03-30 0.003068 0.003314 0.003575 0.003875 0.004211 0.004575 0.005003
2025-04-06 0.002886 0.003179 0.003499 0.003877 0.004312 0.004801 0.005396
2025-04-13 0.002667 0.002980 0.003329 0.003749 0.004245 0.004816 0.005530
2025-04-20 0.002562 0.002899 0.003283 0.003753 0.004322 0.004992 0.005852
2025-04-27 0.002501 0.002865 0.003285 0.003810 0.004457 0.005238 0.006267
2025-05-04 0.002398 0.002774 0.003213 0.003771 0.004471 0.005331 0.006489
2025-05-11 0.002314 0.002701 0.003158 0.003748 0.004498 0.005438 0.006730
2025-05-18 0.002237 0.002631 0.003104 0.003721 0.004518 0.005532 0.006955
2025-05-25 0.002207 0.002619 0.003118 0.003779 0.004647 0.005773 0.007386
2025-06-01 0.002148 0.002567 0.003080 0.003767 0.004682 0.005888 0.007647
2025-06-08 0.002085 0.002508 0.003031 0.003738 0.004692 0.005966 0.007859
2025-06-15 0.002013 0.002435 0.002962 0.003682 0.004664 0.005993 0.008001
2025-06-22 0.001948 0.002371 0.002902 0.003635 0.004646 0.006033 0.008161
2025-06-29 0.001908 0.002336 0.002879 0.003636 0.004693 0.006164 0.008464
2025-07-06 0.001823 0.002240 0.002772 0.003519 0.004570 0.006047 0.008382
2025-07-13 0.001790 0.002212 0.002754 0.003523 0.004618 0.006177 0.008685
2025-07-20 0.001777 0.002209 0.002771 0.003575 0.004735 0.006413 0.009166
2025-07-27 0.001732 0.002163 0.002727 0.003540 0.004723 0.006456 0.009340
2025-08-03 0.001694 0.002126 0.002693 0.003518 0.004730 0.006526 0.009561
2025-08-10 0.001657 0.002088 0.002658 0.003493 0.004731 0.006586 0.009767
2025-08-17 0.001650 0.002090 0.002678 0.003547 0.004852 0.006836 0.010306
2025-08-24 0.001620 0.002061 0.002654 0.003536 0.004873 0.006929 0.010581